Main TMRCA page --- All the very technical details
Mutation rate: The time calculations are highly depend on both the mutation rate and model assumed. As our knowledge of these grows, the pages will be updated to reflect these changes, including allele-specific rates. For now, we use an average value for the mutation estimates. You can also see the effect of assuming mutation rates at the upper and lower ends of the current estimates.
Standard mutation rate (u = 0.002)
How to read these cumulative probability plots and tables
Method
50%
90%
95%
95% Confidence Interval
Infinite Alleles
19
37
44
4-50
Stepwise correction
34
59
69
12-78
High mutation rate (u = 0.004)
How to read these cumulative probability plots and tables
Method
50%
90%
95%
95% Confidence Interval
Infinite Alleles
9
18
22
2-25
Stepwise correction
17
30
35
6-39