Main TMRCA page --- All the very technical details
Mutation rate: The time calculations are highly depend on both the mutation rate and model assumed. As our knowledge of these grows, the pages will be updated to reflect these changes, including allele-specific rates. For now, we use an average value for the mutation estimates. You can also see the effect of assuming mutation rates at the upper and lower ends of the current estimates.
Standard mutation rate (u = 0.002)

How to read these cumulative probability plots and tables
Method
50%
90%
95%
95% Confidence Interval
Infinite Alleles
33
67
79
8-91
Stepwise correction
65
117
138
21-158
High mutation rate (u = 0.004)

How to read these cumulative probability plots and tables
Method
50%
90%
95%
95% Confidence Interval
Infinite Alleles
17
33
39
4-45
Stepwise correction
32
59
69
11-79