Key assumption: The number of crossovers is Possion distribution with mean m.
let m = expected number of crossover
Prob(observe crossover) = Prob (1 CO) + Pr(3 Co) + .. + Pr(2k+1 CO) + ...
Assume cross-overs follow a Poisson distribution so that
Pr(2k+1) = ( e-m m2k+1 )/ (2k+1)!
hence c = Pr(obs co) = Sum Pr(2k+1)
= e-m Sum ( m2k+1)/ (2k+1)! ) = (1 - e-2m]) /2